Exabyte Mammoth

Mobile goes Mammoth

Fewer and fewer business users these days make the distinction between the wired and the wireless when it comes to networking. Connectivity is as connectivity does and they don’t care how they get it, much less where it comes from.

As if to prove the point, user and business attitudes now look to be following a broadly similar path as regards mobile networks – where data and media traffic is widely predicted to grow rapidly and massively on a global scale over the next three to five years.

Networking giant Cisco is among those forecasting that the boom could be as large and pronounced as the uptake enjoyed by wireless networking in recent years; thinking borne out in the company’s Global Mobile Data Forecast for 2009 to 2014.

The report foresees mobile data traffic reaching an unprecedented 3.6 exabytes per month (equating to an annual run rate of 40 exabytes) by 2014, representing an astonishing 39-fold increase from 2009 levels and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of a massive 108%.

What’s driving such incredible growth? Many things, but two or three major global trends seem to be proving especially instrumental.

First, the continuing push towards and clamour for mobile working and connectivity. As a result there has been (and still is) a huge increase in the proliferation of mobile-ready devices – a trend that shows no signs of slowing. This in turn is driving the widespread consumption of rich multimedia content such as video.

Indeed the Cisco study projects that video will represent around two thirds of all mobile data traffic by 2014, a 66-fold hike from 2009 and the highest growth rate of any mobile data application tracked in its VNI Global Mobile Data Forecast.

The impact? More than 5 billion personal devices – smartphones, netbooks, eReaders, Pad computers, web-ready multimedia devices – as well as machine-to-machine applications like eHealth monitoring and asset-tracking and literally billions of machine-to-machine nodes, all connecting to mobile networks within five years.

Look out. Mobile is about to go mammoth.

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